Good to see you at EGamersWorld.
The Dota 2 competitive season is heating up with DreamLeague Season 24. There, the second group stage is heating up, where the play-offs participants are determined.
The second group stage marks the battle between 8 teams. All of them play in one basket under the Round Robin system and among the contenders for the play-offs are Liquid and Falcons.
Let's try to figure out who will be stronger in this match and earn important points ahead of the play-offs.
Let's go.
Falcons form
We open our analysis of the Falcons vs Liquid match with an analysis of the Falcons' form. In this match they will play as favourites with odds to win at around 1.6.
The tag is not new, but they have not been able to achieve much fame since coming to Dota 2 a few years ago. All they did was to play in the local Saudi eLeague. They played there in 2020, with the top 6 and in 2021, with the top 3 and top 1 respectively.
After a pause of a year, decided to return to the professional scene after Valve cancelled the DPC system. Breaking in with a leg.
- Falcons roster: skiter, SumaiL, ATF, Cr1t, Sneyking.
When collecting the roster, we went by the principle of "golden lineup". We managed to get two players from Tundra Esports, and at the same time champions of The International 2023 Skiter and Sneyking, Cr1t, who previously played for Shopify Rebellion and previously for EG, ATF, who showed a good performance last season in PSG Quest and before that in Nigma with OG, and closed everything with a promising mid laner Marl1ne.
In the MENA region, where Falcons are based, this squad has no competition even at the skilla level. As it happens, the Falcons have already clinched their ticket to Kuala Lumpur 2023.
First, they passed the open qualification without any difficulty, and then, again without much trouble, slammed the closed part of the qualifiers. In the final, by the way, they beat PSG Quest by a score of 3-1. What one and two are doing in the MENA region is not entirely clear, but come on.
At Pinnacle: 25 Year Anniversary Show Falcons look very confident so far, which is to be expected. They have already earned their place in the play-offs by coming out of Group B in first place without losing a single game in three matches.
The Falcons started their appearance in the Pinnacle play-offs: 25 Year Anniversary Show with a first round match against Level Up. An easy win took the Falcons to The dudley boys and there the Falcons got their first and only loss of the tournament. They were beaten by The dudley boys, who were given a rematch by the Falcons in the grand final.
In the end, the Pinnacle: 25 Year Anniversary Show Falcons took first place and earned $50,000. The triumph at the local championship was the Falcons' first win in the discipline. But not the last.
After winning at Pinnacle, Falcons finished top 6 at ESL One Kuala Lumpur 2023 and then started to dominate. In 2024, they won 3 qualifiers: at BB Dacha, at DreamLeague Season 22 and ESL One Birmingham at their home in the MENA region.
Just before competing at DL Season 22, Falcons became BB Dacha champions, earning $400,000.
After the Falcons played at DreamLeague Season 22. They showed the highest level of play and pocketed another trophy by beating BB 3-0 in the grand finals. They made it to the Elite League finals, but couldn't win there: Xtreme Gaming proved to be stronger and won the final with a score of 3-1.
In the group stage of ESL One Birmingham 2024 Falcons played at the TOP-1 of Group A. However, the Falcons lost to Tundra 1-2 in the first round of the play-offs. In the lower round of the play-offs, Falcons defeated Team Liquid 0-1. The club from Saudi Arabia subsequently managed to win the tournament, running over BB Team in the grand finals.
Falcons continued their winning streak as they won DreamLeague Season 23, FISSURE Universe: Ep. 3 and Dacha 2024, but fell short at The International 2024, finishing in the top 4. One of the few top teams that kept their roster after The International 2024.
They passed the first group stage of DreamLeague Season 24 with confidence: they were the best team of Group B, winning it with a score of 5-2-0. In the second group stage Long Sogpeg started with an unexpected defeat against Team Waska.
Most popular Falcons heroes
Mars (6 matches, 66% wins), Pango (5 matches, 60% wins), Hoodwink (5 matches, 60% wins), Doom (4 matches, 75% wins), Shadow Demon (4 matches, 75% wins) appeared most often in spades.
Team Liquid Form
We continue our breakdown of the Liquid vs Falcons match with an analysis of Liquid's match form. In this match, the reigning world champions will play as the number two with odds to win at around 2.5.
At DPC 2023: WEU Division 1 Tour 1 Liquid didn't lose a single match and then took the top 2 at The Lima Major 2023, while playing with substitutes. More than decent.
The second round of the DPC was as similar to the previous round as possible. Liquid again took the Top 1, but now with only one loss in the table. On the international stage, Liquid shone again, but were still overshadowed by Gaimin Gladiators, who took their second Major a Champions Cup of the season.
In their third season, Liquid were no longer able to cement their supremacy. "Liquid" fell to fourth place, but it was good enough to pass at Bali Major 2023, which in the case of the past at The International 2023 Team Liquid does not play any role.
- Liquid line-up: miCKe, Nisha, SaberLight, Boxi, Insania.
After the disappointing result at DreamLeague Season 20, where Team Liquid fell out of the first group stage, there was a feeling that Bali Major 2023 would be held for Liquid at the International 2023. However, Liquid decided to switch on and play to the fullest.
And they almost succeeded: they took the top 2, losing in the grand final to Gaimin Glaidators! Again. Third time at a Major tournament in a year.
Riyadh Masters 2023 Team Liquid started at the Play-In stage, as they surprisingly didn't collect enough ESL ranking points. They finished the Play-In with a 3-1-1 score and second place in Basket A, and then played the group stage with a 3-3-1 statistic, advancing to the top set of play-offs.
At the end of the biggest tournament of the year, Team Liquid finished in the top 2, which can't be called a bad result. Unlike the top-10 at DreamLeague Season 21, which was after the Riyadh Masters 2023 and before Longsong The International 2023.
Team Liquid made it to the next round of the group stage pretty confidently from Group B. "Liquid" took the top 1 by taking a 3-1-0 lead in the series.
In the play-offs seeding match, Liquid faced Evil Geniuses. The Peruvians are not happy at this The International 2023, from which they expectedly lost 0-2 against Liquid.
In the first round of play-offs LIquid met Talon Esports. They won on class, taking two maps. What is true, further went not according to plan: a loss from Spirit and then Gaimin Gladiators, already at the bottom of the table. At the end of the main event of the year Team Liquid took the top 6.
The new season began with a performance at Kuala Lumpur 2023, where they reached TOP-2. In 2024 they played everywhere they could. They also went to BB Dacha and made it to the TOP-2 (lost in the final to Falcons), played on DL Season 22. DreamLeague Season 22 was definitely not a priority, as Liquid were so out of shape that they didn't make it out of the group stage.
There was the 1win series tournament, where Ledge or Spirit went 1-2 in the grand finals and Elite League, where they finished top 4.
At ESL One Birmingham 2024, Team Liquid finished in the top 6, with Ledge beating future champions Falcons. PGL Wallachia Season 1 the team started with a win over G2.IG, then lost 2 series to Xtreme and Shopify Rebellion before beating MOUZ. Finally, they defeated their counterparts from Secret, thus advancing to the play-offs with a score of 3-2.
Next, Liquid played at DreamLeague S23, where they finished in the top 10. In July of the 2024 season, Liquid made it to the grand finals of the Riyadh Masters 2024, and then Top 1 at Elite League Season 2. However, the main triumph of Liquid was The International 2024, where Liquid showed themselves extravagantly, where they reached the grand finals and already there they beat Gaimin Gladiators 3-0 without any problems.
Team Liquid played well in the first round of the group stage of DL Season 24, where they played with a score of 3-3-1, taking the top 2 in their basket. In the second group stage they lost opening match against Spirit.
Team Liquid's most popular heroes
Team Liquid has Crystal Maiden in the top picks with 7 games and 6 wins.
In addition to Crystal Maiden choose Doom (4 matches, 100% wins), Sven (4 matches, 75% wins), Skywrath Mage (4 matches, 75% wins).
Rubick (4 matches, 25% wins), Void Spirit (3 matches, 100% wins) appear in spades, Underlord, Pangolier, Storm Spirit have 3 matches each and all have 2 wins.
History of head-to-head meetings between Liquid and Falcons
In the season 2024 Falcons won 4 series against Liquid, while Liquid won only 1 series.
Predicted result of Falcons vs Liquid at DreamLeague Season 24
I expect a close game from both sides in this match. Grand clubs will definitely show a beautiful Dota 2 and, I'm sure, will play a full-fledged bo3.
Bottom line: total +2.5.