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The protracted group stage of DL Season 24 is heating up. We continue to watch the matches of the second stage of the groupstage, where 8 teams are fighting for 4 places in the main stage.
Liquid and Tundra Esports are among the contenders. However, as of the 4th of November, both teams are in a rather precarious position.
We are trying to figure out which of the clubs will be able to improve the situation in their group, and who will have to resign themselves to defeat, which will further aggravate the already sad position in the standings.
Let's go.
Tundra Esports uniforms
Let's open the breakdown of the Tundra vs Liquid match with an analysis of Tundra's form. In this match, they play the number one with odds to win at around 1.7.
In the first cycle of DPC 2023, Tundra only made it into the top 4 via tiebreaker, finishing in the top 3 at the end of the season. This gave them an opportunity to play at The Lima Major 2023, which they failed, finishing in the Top 12.
Things got better in the second DPC cycle. Tundra had re-matches again and again they did well, except now it was a Top-2 division match. Things also got better on the international stage at ESL One Berlin Major 2023, where the reigning world champions from The International finished in the top 6.
In the third cycle, DPC Tundra returned to the top of the competitive dota. The reigning World Champions of The International finished in the top 1 in their home league.
Tundra attended DreamLeague Season 20, but they didn't have much zeal to win there. The team failed to make it past the first group stage, finishing in the top 9-10.
At Bali Major 2023, Tundra had a forced stand-in. Saksa left the squad due to illness, but it didn't stop Tundra from reaching the top 3 of the tournament.
In Riyadh, Tundra again resorted to Aui for the same reason. With him they were able to get through the group stage and survive the round robin tiebreaks. All in all, there's an OG vibe of 2022 in Tundra. However, they failed to reach the top-12.
After the not so successful Riyadh, Tundra also failed at The International 2023, finishing in the top 16. After that, they finished in the top 7 at ESL One Kuala Lumpur 2023.
- Tundra Esports roster: Nightfall, Lorenof, 33, Saksa, Whitemon.
In the 2024 season, Tundra played all sorts of qualifiers, for which they spent the first half of the year. The European-born club went on to finish top 10 at DL Season 22 and top 8 at Elite League.
Tundra's partial rise came at ESL One Birmingham 2024, where the team managed to finish in the top 3. The peak of the 2024 season was TI 24, where Tundra reached the Top 3 and were close to reaching the Grand Final, but failed to do so. Later, with a revamped roster, they reached the top 3 at PGL Wallachia Season 2.
At DreamLeague S24, Tundra Esports made it through the first group stage, going 3-4-0 without losing a single game. In the second part of the group stage Tundra have 1 win and 2 losses as of the 4th of November.
The most popular Tundra Esports characters
Among the most popular characters in Tundra Esports is Techies. The character has been picked 9 times, and his winrate is at 66%.
Next is Bloodseeker, who has been picked 8 times. His win rate is 50%. Batrider (7 matches, 71% win rate), Doom (7 matches, 57% win rate), Timbersaw (6 matches, 66% win rate) were also picked.
Liquid's form
We continue our breakdown of the Liquid vs Tundra match with an analysis of Liquid's match form. In this match, they play the number two side with win odds around 2.1.
At DPC 2023: WEU Division 1 Tour 1 Liquid didn't lose a single match and then took the top 2 at The Lima Major 2023, while playing with substitutes. More than decent.
The second round of the DPC was as similar to the previous round as possible. Liquid again took the Top 1, but now with only one loss in the table. On the international stage, Liquid shone again, but were still overshadowed by Gaimin Gladiators, who took their second Major a Champions Cup of the season.
In their third season, Liquid were no longer able to cement their supremacy. "Liquid" fell to fourth place, but it was good enough to pass at Bali Major 2023, which in the case of the past at The International 2023 Team Liquid does not play any role.
- Liquid line-up: miCKe, Nisha, SaberLight, Boxi, Insania.
After the disappointing result at DreamLeague Season 20, where Team Liquid fell out of the first group stage, there was a feeling that Bali Major 2023 would be held for Liquid at the International 2023. However, Liquid decided to switch on and play to the fullest.
And they almost succeeded: they took the top 2, losing in the grand final to Gaimin Glaidators! Again. Third time at a Major tournament in a year.
Riyadh Masters 2023 Team Liquid started at the Play-In stage, as they surprisingly didn't collect enough ESL ranking points. They finished the Play-In with a 3-1-1 score and second place in Basket A, and then played the group stage with a 3-3-1 statistic, advancing to the top set of play-offs.
At the end of the biggest tournament of the year, Team Liquid finished in the top 2, which can't be called a bad result. Unlike the top-10 at DreamLeague Season 21, which was after the Riyadh Masters 2023 and before Longsong The International 2023.
Team Liquid made it to the next round of the group stage pretty confidently from Group B. "Liquid" took the top 1 by taking a 3-1-0 lead in the series.
In the play-offs seeding match, Liquid faced Evil Geniuses. The Peruvians are not happy at this The International 2023, from which they expectedly lost 0-2 against Liquid.
In the first round of play-offs LIquid met Talon Esports. They won on class, taking two maps. What is true, further went not according to plan: a loss from Spirit and then Gaimin Gladiators, already at the bottom of the table. At the end of the main event of the year Team Liquid took the top 6.
The new season began with a performance at Kuala Lumpur 2023, where they reached TOP-2. In 2024 they played everywhere they could. They also went to BB Dacha and made it to the TOP-2 (lost in the final to Falcons), played on DL Season 22. DreamLeague Season 22 was definitely not a priority, as Liquid were so out of shape that they didn't make it out of the group stage.
There was the 1win series tournament, where Ledge or Spirit went 1-2 in the grand finals and Elite League, where they finished top 4.
At ESL One Birmingham 2024, Team Liquid finished in the top 6, with Ledge beating future champions Falcons. PGL Wallachia Season 1 the team started with a win over G2.IG, then lost 2 series to Xtreme and Shopify Rebellion before beating MOUZ. Finally, they defeated their counterparts from Secret, thus advancing to the play-offs with a score of 3-2.
Next, Liquid played at DreamLeague S23, where they finished in the top 10. In July of the 2024 season, Liquid made it to the grand finals of the Riyadh Masters 2024, and then Top 1 at Elite League Season 2. However, the main triumph of Liquid was The International 2024, where Liquid showed themselves extravagantly, where they reached the grand finals and already there they beat Gaimin Gladiators 3-0 without any problems.
Team Liquid played well in the first round of the group stage of DL Season 24, where they played with a score of 3-3-1, taking the top 2 in their basket. In the second part of the group stage they have a terrible performance: three defeats in three matches.
Team Liquid's most popular heroes
Team Liquid has Crystal Maiden in the top picks with 7 games and 6 wins.
In addition to Crystal Maiden, Doom (4 matches, 100% wins), Sven (4 matches, 75% wins), Skywrath Mage (4 matches, 75% wins) are the picks.
Rubick (4 matches, 25% wins), Void Spirit (3 matches, 100% wins) appear in spades, Underlord, Pangolier, Storm Spirit have 3 matches each and all have 2 wins.
History of head-to-head meetings between Liquid and Tundra
In the 2024 season Liquid have won twice and three more matches have ended in draws.
Predicted result of Tundra vs Team Liquid at DreamLeague Season 24
This is a pivotal match for Liquid. With the score 0-4 comeback, technically, will not be possible, and therefore it is necessary to take the first victory. It is difficult to do with SaberLight, so I bet on a full-fledged Bo3.
Bottom line: total +2.5.